jwithrow, Author at The Phoenician League

The Energy Renaissance

Yesterday we talked about the inevitable end of the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) movement. It’s now upon us.

And there’s a tremendous opportunity here.

As we discussed, nearly $2.2 trillion poured into the development of renewable energy over the last eight years. Solar and wind power were the major beneficiaries.

The problem is, these energy sources will never be able to power our electric grid. Because they are intermittent. They only produce power when the sun is shining and the wind is blowing.

So we are going to see an avalanche of investment shift back into traditional energy production in the years to come. And it’s already happening…

The End of ESG

Energy is the master economic resource.

We take it for granted… but nothing happens without energy. Everything we see in our modern world today – and everything we use on a daily basis – is only possible because of energy.

It’s a simple thing. But if we truly ponder this, it changes our perspective.

Last week we talked about building a robust asset portfolio for financial security. The concept is called asset allocation. The idea is to spread our savings across a range of asset classes in a strategic way.

As we discussed, a tactical stock portfolio is a key piece of the puzzle here. And this is where we can leverage energy as the master economic resource…

My philosophy when it comes to portfolio construction is this: I want a portion of my portfolio to have exposure to energy. And I want to own that energy in the most advantageous way I can. If we start there, all we need to do is figure out what form that energy should take.

Beyond Retirement

Yesterday we examined the three weaknesses in the traditional retirement planning model.

In short, that approach pits us against the tax code… is vulnerable to inflation… and it forces us to choose between having assets or having income.

Today let’s talk about a more comprehensive approach – one that mitigates each of these weaknesses.

My philosophy is simple: Financial security first. Then financial independence.

I define financial security as the ability to weather any sudden change or emergency for an extended period of time in relative comfort.

It’s a simple concept. In mainstream circles, they would say it’s about “having money”.

That way if we were to lose our primary source of income or incur an unexpected large expense – we’re good. We have the resources we need to handle the issue without it disrupting our life.

But here’s the thing – we don’t want to have money. They are printing money by the trillions. It’s guaranteed to lose purchasing power year after year. Instead, we want to have assets.

The Three Weaknesses in Retirement Planning

The rules of money changed in 2022.

To illustrate this from a different angle, let’s assess how the “traditional” retirement planning model came to be…

Modern retirement planning has its roots in the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) of 1974. That legislation created the Individual Retirement Account (IRA). Then supplemental legislation created the 401(k) and the SEP IRA for self-employed individuals in 1978.

ERISA marked a monumental change in the US.

Prior to this legislation, it was common for employers to provide employees with a lifetime pension plan. Companies would invest in this plan on behalf of their employees. Then they would make lifetime payments to each employee after they retired.

As such, the burden of retirement planning fell to corporations.

This gave rise to the “three-legged stool” principle. It said that a sound retirement consisted of three things:

Social Security benefits
Corporate pension payments
Personal savings

ERISA changed everything. It shifted the responsibility for retirement planning from employers to employees.

The state of the American middle class

When we left off yesterday, we were examining the idea that the Age of Paper Wealth had a devastating impact on traditional American society.

As a reminder, the US government cut the dollar’s final link to gold in 1971. This removed all restrictions on creating new dollars at will.

It took most governments about a decade to realize this… but they’ve been printing money in greater and greater quantities since 1982. This drove interest rates down to zero… and it propelled the US stock market to all-time highs.

I call this period from 1982 to 2022 the Age of Paper Wealth. It certainly seemed like a prosperous period in American history – and for some it was. But the combination of artificially low interest rates and printed money financialized the American economy.

That is to say – we emphasized financial markets, financial institutions, and financial activity to the detriment of hands-on knowledge, skilled labor, the middle class, and traditional American values.

Today, very few people seem to know how to do anything with their hands. Myself included. Finance is all I’ve known. But I am making an effort to get better about this.

And look at what’s happened to our dollar…

What happened to our money?

Last week we looked at the strange de-banking trend and the history of our money.

In our brief history lesson, we noted how the dollar was not only backed by precious metals for most of its history – it was in fact defined as a specific amount of silver and later gold.

But everything changed in 1971. That’s when President Nixon cut the dollar’s last link to gold.

This thrust the world on a purely fiat monetary system controlled entirely by governments and central banks. Fiat is the Latin word for “let it be done”.

This is what gave rise to the Age of Paper Wealth I highlighted in my book Beyond the Nest Egg. Because the fiat system removed all restrictions on printing money.

It took most governments about a decade to realize this. But once they did, they didn’t look back…

The History of Our Money

Yesterday we talked about the nature of money… and we noted that we haven’t had sound money for quite some time now.

So today let’s look at a brief monetary history to see how that came to be. This is something that nearly every University in the western world has either ignored or swept under the rug to keep us ignorant – so let’s take a minute to briefly pull the curtain back today.

We’ll look at the history of money from an American perspective. But only because the dollar has served as the world’s reserve currency since 1944.

And we have to start with this – what is a “dollar”?

The Nature of Money

Yesterday we talked about a strange case of someone getting de-banked… and I asked the question – what’s going on here? Is this a trend?

I suppose time will tell. But I can’t help but think that this is a signal we need to be paying attention to. And it’s a good opportunity to tune in to what’s happening in the world of money and finance.

So today, let’s talk about the nature of money.

Now, I know that may sound a little strange. We all use money every day. We’re familiar with it. But have we really thought about it?

Where does money come from? Why is it valuable?

The short answer is that money is a unit of account that serves as a medium of exchange. But this is an incomplete view.

In order to be viable over long periods of time, money must contain several definitive characteristics. Money must be:

Portable
Divisible
Fungible
Durable

Let’s examine each of these characteristics in more detail.

How to get de-banked

“Well, I just got de-banked.”

I received a call from a gentleman I’ve known a long time over the weekend. He was chuckling as he shared with me his dealings with Wells Fargo last week. He maintained one of his business checking accounts at the bank.

Wells Fargo had sent him a letter back in January. The letter advised him that the bank didn’t believe his mailing address to be legitimate. Then it demanded that he update his mailing address… or else the bank would close his account.

The thing is – the mailing address is legitimate. So he read the letter. Then he updated his address.

But since it happened to be the right address, he simply moved the mailbox number from line two to line one. He figured this would signal to them that they did indeed have the correct address for him – and he thought nothing more of it.

Until last week, that is. He received an email from Wells Fargo alerting him to the fact that they closed his business checking account. Naturally he called the bank’s customer service right away…

The Bitcoin Vision

Yesterday I suggested that we should avoid the new Bitcoin ETFs… because they are antithetical to the big picture underlying Bitcoin.

That big picture is harder to describe. It took me a full year of reading and thinking about Bitcoin before I could see it.

Today I’ll do my best to share it with you. And it starts with this…

We all use space-age technology every single day and think nothing of it.

Text messages fly across the country. We send 2.4 billion emails every single second. Satellites bounce data all across the globe.

Now we can do video chats with each other – just like the old Jetsons cartoon envisioned. We all walk around with a device in our pockets that can access the entire store of accumulated human knowledge instantly, from pretty much anywhere.

And this device can do almost anything we ask it to. It can give us navigational directions. It can send money to a friend. It can play music and movies. There’s an app for almost everything.

If that weren’t enough, we can now buy virtually any item made anywhere in the world online, including food, and it will show up in a box at our door step in short order.

All of this would look like magic to my grandfather who died in 1994.

Yet our core civic institutions are stuck in the Bronze Age. Governments… banks… all of them. They are dinosaurs.