The Water Project – Phase Two

We’re taking a break from money and finance this week to talk about a little non-profit venture.

Yesterday we looked at Phase One of the Uganda Water Project. Today let’s cover Phase Two.

With the borehole drilled and the manual pump/spigot installed, Phase One of the project was completed in October 2023. 

We wired $12,000 to Bevar Forex Bureau on December 1, 2023 to begin Phase Two. It consisted of constructing platforms and installing water tanks for storage and additional access.

This image gives us a great feel for what it looks like as you approach the site:

As you drive or walk down this road, you’ll come to one of the well’s primary access points. Here’s a shot from the second phase of construction:

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Our Venture into Africa

As I mentioned yesterday, our non-profit foundation just financed a water collection and distribution system in Uganda. What follows is part one of the project’s status update…

Friends,

I’m writing today to provide you with an update on the Uganda Water Project. But first let me express my deepest thanks for your generous support. 

Our mission with Foundation for Human Civilization is to create a future that consists of vibrant self-sustaining local communities. And every contribution makes a real difference in the lives of the people we seek to serve.

With that in mind, your support enabled us to completely fund the Uganda Water Project. And we were even able to finance a wonderful extension to the project that wasn’t in our initial budget. More on that in just a few minutes.

As for the logistics… 

We funded the project in three phases. We felt this was important to ensure that the work was completed in full and that our team on the ground had ample opportunity to inspect and verify everything. 

We partnered with the Kireku-Bugolo Mwera Development Association on the project. Fr. Joseph Ssessaazi served as the local project coordinator for the association.

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Time, Energy, and Money

Something of an insight came to me recently.

Like a splinter, I don’t know exactly where it came from… and the idea isn’t fully formed in my mind. It’s just kind of there – poking at me.

So if you’ll permit me, I’d like to explore this idea with you today. But what follows may meander quite a bit more than our usual missives.

The insight is this…

We all are blessed with the energy we need to live. That energy affords us time on this Earth. They are gifts – time and energy. We can’t truly explain them.

What we choose to focus our time and energy on is what will define our values and ultimately our lives.

It’s a simple thing. But if we think about it… it’s quite profound.

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The Blueprint for Financial Freedom

In our email series this past week, I laid out the reasons why:

  1. The Age of Paper Wealth is over…
  2. The US dollar is steadily losing market share as the world’s reserve currency…
  3. The Fed will NOT pivot this year…
  4. Keynesianism is dead…

Today, I’m going to do my best to lay out exactly how to benefit from the new rules of money that are taking form right now.

Look, I know there’s a lot of FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) out there right now.

Everything we’ve discussed this week could be construed as bad. And there are plenty of even worse scenarios we haven’t discussed.

But I sincerely believe that we are creators in this world. That’s what being human is all about. And as creators, it’s our job to create the future we want.

What’s more, the winds of change bring with them the seeds of opportunity. Here’s what I mean…

Our approach to money and finance has been highly mechanized for the last forty years.

They’ve told us to funnel all our savings into managed funds held within retirement accounts. Even if this approach were viable going forward (it’s not)… what’s interesting about it?

Continue reading “The Blueprint for Financial Freedom”

Keynesianism is Dead

Perhaps nobody shaped the modern world more than John Maynard Keynes.

Those who have studied economics are surely familiar with his name. But I’d wager most of the population isn’t… which is ironic given that his theories have directly impacted all of us.

John Maynard Keynes was the preeminent British economist of his generation. He lived from 1883 to 1946.

It was his book The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money that made Keynes so influential. But only because government and Academia loved his general premise.

Keynes effectively flipped economics on its head. And he single-handedly undermined the great stride of progress that had flowed from the classical economists of the 18th and 19th centuries.

Central to Keynes\’ theory was an idea so preposterous, even my 9-year old could quickly debunk it. He asserted that the government should issue debt and spend more money whenever things were slow in the economy. This is where the modern idea of “stimulus” comes from.

This is what made Keynes so popular with government officials. He gave them a green light to run up debt and launch all kinds of uneconomical spending programs.

To be fair, Keynes did say that government should reduce its spending when the economy was humming. He didn’t advocate the perpetual public debt binge that’s occurred over the last few decades.

But policy-makers conveniently ignored that part of Keynes’ theory. And it’s easy to see why. With intellectual cover to issue debt and later print money, governments became massive monoliths that now command multi-trillion dollar budgets.

This is what created the Age of Paper Wealth. It lasted from 1982 to 2022.

Continue reading “Keynesianism is Dead”

Why there will be no big Fed pivot in 2024… (Part 2)

We are living through a period of historic change right now. And if you don’t know where things are heading… your financial plan is in serious jeopardy.

That’s because the rules of money are changing. The conventional wisdom of the last forty years has hit a dead-end.

Because for the first time in its history…

The Fed No Longer Has A Free Hand

It all comes down to the inner workings of the US credit market.

Treasury bonds are the bedrock of the US financial system. The yield paid by Treasury bonds is considered the “risk-free” rate of return.

As such, Treasury bond yields often serves as a benchmark for other fixed income investments. Thus, Treasury bonds influence interest rates across the entire economy.

This is why Treasury bonds are seen as a reliable reserve asset across the world of global finance. In fact, American banks, financial institutions, and insurance companies own roughly $12 trillion worth of US Treasuries right now.

But here’s the thing – the US government is now running annual deficits greater than $1 trillion a year. The only way to finance those deficits is to sell more Treasury bonds.

Treasuries are a simply a loan to the US government. And in return, the government pays bondholders the stated rate of return.

Thus, US Treasuries have to provide a reasonable yield to attract buyers. And financing over $1 trillion a year requires a lot of buyers.

Continue reading “Why there will be no big Fed pivot in 2024… (Part 2)”

Why there will be no big “Fed pivot” in 2024…  (Part 1)

If you care about protecting your hard-earned money for the rest of the 2020s and beyond…

This may be the most important email you read all year.

In our last few emails, I shared what’s really happening in our financial and monetary systems.

I told you why the US is facing a potential inflation nightmare as the BRICS bloc is slowly decreasing demand for US dollars…

What I didn’t show you is how the “Petrodollar” system is on the verge of a historic change that will radically accelerate these trends. And this change will decrease demand for dollars even faster… putting pressure on dollar-denominated asset prices.

Kissinger’s Legacy Is Coming Unwound

In 1973, Henry Kissinger went to Saudi Arabia to forge an alliance with the House of Saud.

Kissinger promised that the US would supply military-grade weapons and protection for the Saudi government. In return, Saudi Arabia agreed to sell oil exclusively for US dollars.

This agreement created the Petrodollar… and it ensured steady, built-in demand for the US dollar. That’s because it required every nation to pay for oil in dollars.

Here’s the part most people don’t consider…

Continue reading “Why there will be no big “Fed pivot” in 2024…  (Part 1)”

What’s coming next for the financial system?

The snow continued to fall throughout the night up here in the Virginia highlands. It was a fine, sticky snow that clings to everything, creating a winter wonderland.

Here’s a shot from this morning:

And speaking of frozen…

Between March and May of last year, the United States saw the 2nd and 3rd largest bank failures in its history.

At the time I was in touch with a tech entrepreneur who had recently launched a new company. She had $2 million parked at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) – one of the banks that collapsed. Those funds were her company’s start-up capital.

The bank’s management told her on a Friday that they would let her know by Monday how much of her money she could withdraw – if any. She was left to spend the weekend wondering if her company was about to be bankrupt.

Continue reading “What’s coming next for the financial system?”

The truth about stock prices

After 20 years in finance, I’ve learned that so much of it has to do with your perspective and your attitude. There’s an old saying that sums it up nicely: “If you know what’s happening, you’ll know what to do”.

Of course, the challenge is to know what’s happening.

We’ll come back to that in just a minute. But first I’d like to share a photo with you:

I snapped this one from behind my home office this morning. I never tire of seeing the majestic barefaced cliffs in the background covered in snow.

Getting back to finance…

One of the primary themes I’ve been tracking in these pages is a major paradigm shift in the financial markets.

From 1982 to 2022, interest rates went down consistently while US stock prices moved higher. That made financial planning simple. Buy a few funds that track US equities and then sit tight…

But the trend reversed in 2022. Rates rose rapidly while stock prices fell.

This signaled that it was time to rethink financial planning 101 – which prompted me to write a book about it.

For a while my thesis played out perfectly for all to see. But then the “Fed pivot” craze kicked back into gear and US equities went on a tear to end 2023.

According to the financial news, the US stock market just made a new all-time high in December. And in nominal terms, that’s true. So it seems like the Age of Paper Wealth is alive and well, right?

Continue reading “The truth about stock prices”

Destroying What’s Left of Capitalism

“The competitive market process promotes the efficient allocation of resources, leading to the highest possible standard of living for consumers.” -Ludwig von Mises

That’s Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises writing about the true benefit of a market-based system – the efficient allocation of resources. Mises went on to suggest that the market process is the only method of economic calculation that can be used in a world of scarcity and uncertainty.

The fact is, we must allow competitive markets to allocate resources if we want to enjoy a high standard of living. Anyone who doubts this can simply look at the difference between life in the United States and life in Sub-Saharan Africa.

In the US we enjoy comforts that the richest person alive 150 years ago could never fathom.

We live in homes that are the perfect temperature year-round. Weather is now just a talking point.

We take running water and indoor plumbing for granted. We have supermarkets overflowing with food just down the street. And we have all kinds of screens that offer us endless entertainment.

In Sub-Saharan Africa, nearly half of the population lives without electricity and running water. The local markets offer only a small amount of goods from the capital city. And many families still live as subsistence farmers.

I know this first-hand. Our foundation just drilled a new solar-powered well in rural Uganda. Previously the villagers were walking up to a mile twice a day to collect clean water from a natural spring.

It’s not about money. It all comes down to the allocation of resources.

Continue reading “Destroying What’s Left of Capitalism”